Unexpected software development delays... Russia invades Ukraine.

Mar 03, 2022
 

Unexpected software delays.

Yes, I was not expecting Russia to invade Ukraine.

And that was a cause of software delay.

Very, very interesting.

So I had been warned, one of my buddies is a software developer, He runs a very solid software solution for internet marketers.

And He was like, my just to let you know, it's going to cost at least two to three times whatever you quoted, like, just to let you know, that's how standard ballpark.

And given you've never dev before.

Just be prepared for a steep learning curve.

Now, I had also had some other feedback that there was this sweet spot, there was a sweet spot for coding that existed in Eastern Europe.

And so when I went on Upwork, and I put up the jobs, I actually forgot one of the previous lessons that I learned, which was to take the smallest chunk at the first part of the job, and give that same job to three or four developers get them to complete it, you can have a look at their work, you can have a look at how they interact with you, you can have a look at the quality, you can have a look at the price.

And you're not quoting the whole thing.

But just that first bit short, you will get four examples of the work.

But you will identify who's good and who is not.

And then from there, continue on for the total rest of the software deaf.

Now my team's over there.

And, and we've been going really well.

I've been loving it been loving.

It's like oh, this is really cool the to, to be working.

So I start my day, and when they come online, maybe five or six hours later.

And there's a little different.

I'm used to quite working with the states, which is like a day behind or not quite a day behind that like their head.

But behind its kind of weird.

Like, when I wake up on Thursday morning.

They're on Wednesday afternoon, but it works well enough.

But what I was not expecting was Russia to invade Ukraine and the internet went down.

Now I had breached this before.

I'm like, Hey, guys, are you worried at all? And they're like, Tom, relax, relax.

It's fine.

I'm like, Really you guys? Sure.

Like, that's not what the news is saying is like that they realize, oh, this has been going on a long time.

Russia is our friend.

Relax.

And I'm like, Well, okay, that's interesting stuff.

And it'd be pretty good until today.

And they're like, hey, the internet's not working.

So I don't know whether somebody blew up the cord that goes into Ukraine.

This actually happened close by live someone.

So I'm putting like a mower or a brush cutter blade through the fiber optic cable that runs between Brisbane and Sydney.

Like that is a pretty big fiber optic cable, and they snap the whole thing.

And it took like a day to repair the house? I’m like, wow.

No, I like that probably should have cemented that one.

But this, obviously in Ukraine was an unexpected delight.

We'll see how it goes.

One of the things that I took from this is that in the past, this could have truly been a very devastating event that I asked myself, I'm hanging out in Australia, I cannot physically go over there.

But all of the work that we have done so far, is not on any of this.

So it's all on Figmas servers and Figma.

I don't know it's not going to be affected by whatever's going on in Ukraine.

So let's say it all gets pretty messy, said ends up like some kind of Syrian situation, which does look absolutely horrific.

And it's like, okay, this number more coding getting done.

This will be a problem for a lot of the world because not just me using Ukraine to do software development, this is a well-known thing.

And so we are going to have a problem.

Now, the work will not be lost, because it's stored in the cloud and Figmas service.

But once again, we could be looking at this systematic shortage that appears to be going on in so many places in the world.

We just went to $2.07 I think for petrol here in Australia gas.

I'm like, wow, okay, let's get an expensive getting expensive.

And this is because of all the delays.

This is all because of all of the shortages because of all of the problems.

And now we've got a war on top of it.

One of the scariest things about understanding systems is how difficult it is to catch

 

If you wipe out half of the coders in Ukraine, that delays projects, far more than you expect, just from a linear response, prices go up, you have to take you to have to compete for fewer resources.

This is difficult.

And much as it would be lovely.

If this could happen, it can't really be trained like great coders can't be trained in a week, you're not going to get elite-level guys who go from nothing to one week later.

This is the same with many industries, I saw a thing where a couple of apparently some spies out of the states refused to get the vaccine.

And like they were like, I know whether this is true or not, this total story could be totally, totally ridiculous.

But the idea was that you can't just train spies, you can't just train scientists, you can't just train doctors, you can't just train many of the skill sets that are required by the modern world, in one week, or one year, as a surgeon, a surgeon takes around 12 years like you got to get through med school, you got to get through your junior doctor years, you got to go through your senior training.

And then still on top of that, you've probably got a solid 10 years of working as a consultant fully qualified before you start really heating optimal production.

So that's a 22-year delay.

And you're like, Well, you know what, we're just going to shut everything down and hope to make it up.

I'm like, this isn't going to work, we are going to have some major problems.

Now, I hope that I'm wrong.

I hope that this is not the case.

One of the other interesting things about systems is that in big systems, it takes a long time for the results of changes to work all the way through.

This has been a concern, this has been a major concern of mine.

Others, appear not to be so worried.

But I'm like the challenges that we're seeing in Australia right now.

I don't think these from a week ago, no justice it, just say let's say we wanted to train.

I want to train 100 More surgeons, then I'm going to have 12 years to get them up and running.

So we're not going to see I make the decision today, I bring on 100 surgeons in 12 years' time, I see that results.

Now, this also applies the other way that when I limit production and jam up everything and stop people working, it doesn't just cause immediate response, whereby the next day, everything runs out, it takes a long time.

But the bad thing about problems like that is that they tend to start impacting things that are unexpected.

We live in a very connected world.

Very connected world.

And so it is easy for impacts in one area, which you wouldn't expect to have effects in other areas.

But seeing these bizarre effects where US cars are selling for more than new ones because they're available.

We're seeing price money go down because the government keeps printing so much, but no one's doing any work.

So the money is worthless, it's just worth not as much as it used to be because there's so much more for so much less production.

And that leaves me with a funny conclusion.

It's like either we were massively overproducing with bizarre in effectiveness to provide abundance to the entire world.

Or all we got some more difficulties coming.

And how are we going to deal with those difficulties? Well, you're going to have to choose your way.

I'm going to choose mine.

If we have to find radically improved methods of effectiveness.

The one place that I can see that is in systems.

Most of us do not understand systems most of us do not know how to build them, how to run them, how to deploy them how to work them with other people.



Some of us do, some of us do and some of those People have massive production, like the performance gains that they get so insane that it is hard to believe that they're actually doing it.

I've been experiencing this in some of my marketing, I'm like, What is taking others who are trained, and as solid in business skills, five to six weeks.

And like, that's about six hours work, if you just do the steps, step, step, step, step, step, step, step.

Now, there could be some advantages in the six-week model, I get that, that they review them, they come back and just stay, but the overall timeframe to go from, okay, wow, I've got to read the book and do the work and then read the book and try and understand what I'm doing.

And then I do I missed a bit like, come back.

And actually, I did that work, that work didn't really get me what am I going to do it again? And then I have forgotten what am I? How about we just turn the book into the system and run the system? Stop doing all this other work.

And the weirdest thing keeps up my mind.

Oh, wow.

Wow, when I'm seeing the system's unfolding, okay, this actually should also not let's take your offer, for instance, it shouldn't just be the name of the product, it also should be the definition of the type of product, is it? Is it a six-week course? Is it for video recording? Is it a PDF? Is it at whatever the course is? Is it a six-week live training? Let's specify that and provide a brief outline because that's going to drop into the webinar or the sales video, but it's also going to provide the backbone for the product development.

So why don't we get clear on that and specified, there are only so many products, you know, there's not an infinite number of product types.

There's, there are maybe many variations a four week, five-week, six weeks, an eight week, whatever.

But you know, you've been in the game long enough, you've seen the types of products that come through.

So let's specify those at the time of creating it.

And that will speed up we won't get to product development God, what did we promise, it'll be defined.

And that saves time.

And that increases productivity.

So this is our solution.

And it may not be that everyone has to get it, like a relatively small peep number of people get systems at a much higher level.

And their productivity could literally mean that many people don't need to do too much, which brings its own problems.

Don't get me wrong, that is not necessarily a good thing.

Besides, we've probably got robots and AI coming anyway.

It's like, well, what the heck am I here for? And this whole different reality of problems opens up but right now.

As I said, my hope is that we are not heading for the difficulties that perhaps are at risk right now.

But if we are, then we need a radically improved productivity paradigm.

As I said, I'm putting my money on systems.

Alright, that's all I got for you tonight.

That was a little bit rambly a little bit exploratory from Russia invading Ukraine in the bizarre effects it's having on software developers in Australia, but I hope you got some value from it.

And I look forward to seeing you in the next episode as we continue this journey into the power systems that create results.

See you then.

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